Wednesday, January 25, 2012

Oscar Noms: My .02 Cents

For all of you gunning to pull in the $25 from your office Oscar poll, here's my best guess (note: I've won my office pool 2 years in a row, NBD). Given that my favorite movie of the year, "Drive", was snubbed across the board, I'm tuning in only for the fashion & Billy Crystal.


Winner predictions are in BOLD.
Snubs are listed in italics.

BEST PICTURE
"The Artist," Thomas Langmann, producer - Though I cannot say I loved this movie as much as the rest of America, it's by far the most original, so sure. Best Picture it is.




"The Descendants," Jim Burke, Alexander Payne and Jim Taylor, producers
"Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close," Scott Rudin, producer
"The Help," Brunson Green, Chris Columbus and Michael Barnathan, producers
"Hugo," Graham King and Martin Scorsese, producers
"Midnight in Paris," Letty Aronson and Stephen Tenenbaum, producers
"Moneyball," Michael De Luca, Rachael Horovitz and Brad Pitt, producers
"The Tree of Life," Nominees to be determined
"War Horse," Steven Spielberg and Kathleen Kennedy, producers
Snubs: Bridesmaids, Drive


LEAD ACTOR
Demián Bichir, "A Better Life"
George Clooney, "The Descendants"
Gary Oldman, "Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy "
Brad Pitt, "Moneyball"
Jean Dujardin, "The Artist"- He's a charmer. His eyebrow "acted" more than George, who I believe phoned it in.
Snubs: Ryan Gosling ("Drive", "Ides of March"), Michael Fasbender "Shame")


LEAD ACTRESS
Glenn Close, "Albert Nobbs"
Rooney Mara, "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo"
Meryl Streep, "The Iron Lady"
Michelle Williams, "My Week With Marilyn"
Viola Davis, "The Help"- Meryl is her biggest competition, but even Meryl thinks she deserves it.


Snubs: Tilda Swinton ("We Should Talk About Kevin")


BEST DIRECTOR
Michel Hazanavicius, "The Artist"- I'm predicting a sweep, if you couldn't tell.

Alexander Payne, "The Descendants"
Martin Scorsese, "Hugo"- They do love Martin, but not for this.
Woody Allen, "Midnight in Paris"
Terrence Malick, "The Tree of Life"-He shot a beautiful, pointless movie. 

Snubs: David Fincher ("The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo")

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Kenneth Branagh, "My Week with Marilyn"
Jonah Hill, "Moneyball"- I like this nomination. Truth be told, I like large Jonah over hungry Jonah.
Nick Nolte, "Warrior"

Max von Sydow, "Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close"
Christopher Plummer, "Beginners"- In the battle of the old guys (see Max V above), he's got the momentum. Coincidentally, he deserves it.



Snubs: Bryan Cranston ("Drive")

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Bérénice Bejo, "The Artist"
Jessica Chastain, "The Help"
Melissa McCarthy, "Bridesmaids"- Kind of like when Marisa Tomei shocked everyone for her win for "My Cousin Vinny", MM has a chance to upset.
Janet McTeer, "Albert Nobbs"
Octavia Spencer, "The Help" - She'll win. And she should.

Snubs: Some will say that Shailene Woodley ("The Descendants") deserved a nod, but I don't agree.


WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
"The Descendants," Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon & Jim Rash
"Hugo," John Logan

"Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy," Screenplay by Bridget O'Connor & Peter Straughan
"The Ides of March," George Clooney & Grant Heslov and Beau Willimon
"Moneyball," Steven Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin. Story by Stan Chervin-This will be the movies only nod. Aaron Sorkin can do no wrong according to the Academy anyway.



WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
"The Artist," Michel Hazanavicius

"A Separation," Asghar Farhadi
"Bridesmaids," Annie Mumolo & Kristen Wiig- I would love this to upset, but it won't.
"Margin Call," J.C. Chandor- Side note, you should rent this one. It's good.
"Midnight in Paris," Woody Allen-He's swept everything else. And it was a surprisingly charming little story.





ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
"A Cat in Paris," Alain Gagnol and Jean-Loup Felicioli-What the hell is this?
"Chico & Rita," Fernando Trueba and Javier Mariscal- Ditto for this.
"Kung Fu Panda 2," Jennifer Yuh Nelson-For serious?
"Puss in Boots," Chris Miller-Nope.
"Rango," Gore Verbinski-Yep. For originality if nothing else.



FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
"Bullhead," Belgium
"Footnote," Israel
"In Darkness," Poland
"Monsieur Lazhar," Canada
"A Separation," Iran- Arguably better than any of the films up for best movie of the year. Spoiler alert: It's not a comedy.

ART DIRECTION
"The Artist," production design: Laurence Bennett; set decoration: Robert Gould- This one will be tough to beat given that the film hinges on the beauty of B&W design.
"Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2," production design: Stuart Craig; set decoration: Stephenie McMillan
"Hugo," production design: Dante Ferretti; set decoration: Francesca Lo Schiavo
"Midnight in Paris," production design: Anne Seibel; set decoration: Hélène Dubreuil
"War Horse," production design: Rick Carter; set decoration: Lee Sandales

CINEMATOGRAPHY
Guillaume Schiffman, "The Artist"
Jeff Cronenweth, "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo"
Robert Richardson, "Hugo"
Emmanuel Lubezki, "The Tree of Life"-The only thing anyone who has seen this movie says is "it was really beautiful". That's because no one gets the rest of it. It should win this category.
Janusz Kaminski, "War Horse"

COSTUME DESIGN
Lisy Christl, "Anonymous"
Mark Bridges, "The Artist"- See above for rationale.
Sandy Powell, "Hugo"
Michael O'Connor, "Jane Eyre"
Arianne Phillips, "W.E"



FILM EDITING
"The Artist," Anne-Sophie Bion and Michel Hazanavicius-I'm predicting a sweep. 
"The Descendants," Kevin Tent
"The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo," Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall
"Hugo" Thelma Schoonmaker
"Moneyball," Christopher Tellefsen

MAKEUP
"Albert Nobbs," Martial Corneville, Lynn Johnston and Matthew W. Mungle
"Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2," Nick Dudman, Amanda Knight and Lisa Tomblin-Could be a nod for Glenn as a Man (in "Albert Nobbs"), but the sheer volume of characters in Potter should lock this one in.
"The Iron Lady," Mark Coulier and J. Roy Helland

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)
"The Adventures of Tintin," John Williams
"The Artist," Ludovic Bource
"Hugo," Howard Shore
"Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy," Alberto Iglesias
"War Horse" John Williams-I feel like he always wins when he's nominated.

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)
"Man or Muppet" from "The Muppets," music and lyrics by Bret McKenzie-No question
"Real in Rio," from "Rio," music by Sergio Mendes and Carlinhos Brown; lyrics by Siedah Garrett

There are a few other categories that I know 0.0 about. I typically guess. So good luck on those ones.
See you on Feb 27 for a recap.



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